Real Estate

Zell Sees Start of Housing Recovery in the Spring
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Zell Sees Start of Housing Recovery in the Spring

Real Estate – The US economy will avoid recession as the housing market begins to recover this spring, according to billionaire investor Sam Zell.

Tags: Zell, Housing, Recovery, Spring

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"Speaking on "Squawk Box" this morning, Zell attributed much of the current economic troubles to fear-mongering and politicking by Democratic presidential contenders Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.

"Obviously what we have going on is an attempt to create a self-fulfilling prophecy," said Zell, chairman of Equity Investments Group and owner of the Chicago Cubs, Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times and other companies. "We have two Democratic candidates who are vying with each other to describe the economic situation worse."

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You gotta love it when a real estate man tells you that the market isn't going bad... or worse in this case.

Of course, that's the same song and dance we've been hearing for the last two years, and there's no light at the end of the tunnel yet.

...and the fed is making noises about ANOTHER rate decrease.

Get under a good roof, dollars are starting to drop HARD!

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Even Donald Trump is advising people to fight to the death!

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Spot on comment.

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Lets not forget Zell's relentless cuts in the newsrooms he now owns. If you ask the L.A. Times staff, he is a one-man recession.

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war news good lets create a recession.......it is a self fulfilling prophecy..

http://sweetness-light.com/archive/war-news-goo...

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Zell sounds like a nut case trying to influence the market in his favor.

Some people still blame Clinton for the nations problems and now others are skipping 8 years of history and blaming people who have not been elected yet. I guess you don't have to be too smart to be a billionaire.

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"We have two Democratic candidates who are vying with each other to describe the economic situation worse."

Gee, if you talk about a bad economy, it's your fault the economy is bad. I get it, stick your head in the ground and if you don't acknowledge the problem, it doesn't exist.

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Do you believe it or just want to believe it?

I like when he says make money cheap so that, "...Bernanke's reduction in interest rates has been spot-on, because basically we're going to fix the credit markets by creating a big enough spread between the risk-free cost of capital and what's available so that greed overtakes fear and the game begins again."

Irrational exuberance.

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And rather ignores the plummeting value of the U.S. dollar vs. foreign currencies.

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I am terrible with names and even worse with committees, and USA has so many committees on everything.

This morning there was a financial expert giving his views to some Gov body, and he figures that since housing is still down, unemployment going up, inflation going up, price of oil going up, dollar going down and also fewer jobs being generated that USA is already in a recession; and the worst is to come

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Unemployment went down. The economy always picks up in Spring, which is JUST around the corner.

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wrong it was 4.9% but now is over 5% and rising

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Out of curiosity, does that figure include the 20 million illegals who are currently working here?

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Also look at the quality of jobs. If you were a computer programmer and now you are a Wal-mart greeter, I guess you didn't really lose your job, right?

Job creation makes up for job loss. Bushenomics.

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I agree with Zell absolutely. Depressing speak, depresses the markets. It works every time.

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Agreed.

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And lieing about wars, deficit spending and tax cuts for the rich are good for the economy.

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It is the Old "THE SKY IS FALLING TACTIC", the liberal media has never stated the true facts and because everybody knows they tell nothing but the truth, the ducks just follow in a row.

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I see. Now that they are reporting the economic declines, they are the liberal media. What were they when they were stoking the real estate bubble with the endless optimism of real estate speculators like Zell?

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So, if I were to tell you your fly is unzipped when it clearly was, would you think I was being negative? Would you brand me a chicken little for stating what is? Would you even look down to check?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103...

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Nearly every story every day is something we should be afraid of.

We're afraid of the food, the toys, the weather, the climate, the terrorists, our weight, our health, the dollar, the economy, our age, gas prices, food prices, Bilderburgs, Rothschilds, Federal reserve, Bush, Cheney, Bird flu, all other flus, drugs, alchohol, sex, mortgages, loss of jobs; but ask any one of us how we're doing, we say "I'm doing fine".

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Well here's another one to ponder. Think about the ramifications.

http://acheson.wordpress.com/2008/02/26/greensp...

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Buy Euros!

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Have you posted that link separately in the Money section? You should. Wonder where Greenspan's money has been all this time. All he saw in the U.S. real estate market at his retirement was "froth."

This smacks of an insider deal -- investing somewhere else and manipulating the market crash.

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No, I thought someone must have already submitted it.

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Now ... mention Hillary and I get frightened.

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After March5 maybe I won't be scared no more.

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I agree with self fulfilling prophecy in a way. It just fans the flames.

But I do hope their right about a housing recovery. There's six for sale signs on my little street alone.The problem in my neighborhood are people gotta leave even if they are getting caught back up by paying, they've gotta leave and rent is more than the mortgage and can't afford it.

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Look at the price of a house today, then look at how much you make, can you afford it and still have money left over? If I have to buy the house that I currently own today with the money that I make I couldn't. And My salary has doubled since I bought this house. Now someone please explain to me how the housing market is going to get better.

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I wish I had an answer.They don't look at the lower end people either. If I had to pay 1/2 my income to mortgage or rent I couldn't make it and I live CHEAP.

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It's easier to invest tons of dollars quickly than tons of euros. Treasuries are the safest investment there is.

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Changing your tune, Simon. Just a few statements back all was fine and rosy in the world of conservatism. I know, I know, just keeping your options open.

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I'll say this, my job revolves completely around the real estate business. Things were the worst they have been in 6 years last January. For about three weeks. Now, I am working 60 hours a week again and still can't get caught up. Construction is up, new home sales are up and old home sales are up as well. However, Ga has always remained better off than the rest of the nation when it comes to real estate so who knows?

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Here there's a glut of new homes on the market, builders are laying off employees and we are one of the arias with better growth than most (Mid Atlantic around Washington DC). Things are getting worse here.

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I live in Georgia too, tanglang, and the housing market's in the dumps. One indication is that both Home Depot and Lowe's market earning are down considerably from last year. Also there is a high end development a few blocks from my house that was started a year and a half ago and the development planned for about 80 units in the $200,000-$500,000 range. Only four have been completed and only one is sold. And it looks like the building has stopped or at least slowed down to nonexistent.

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The fact that I am working seven days a week trying to crank out the surveys needed for people to close on properties is why I disagree with you.

I do know what you mean about some subdivisions having stopped work. There have bee lots of "builders" in the state that bit off more than they could chew and went belly up. They are no different (or intelligent) than the homebuyers who were not smart enough to buy a house they could afford. You know, the ones who thought "hey, this arm is so low I can buy twice the house" and are now being foreclosed on. Both groups are morons, and screw up the economy for the rest of us. Don't let the lack of work by your house be the thing that causes you to think Ga's housing market is slow.

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My daughter is buying a house in a couple months. Don't want to move in the cold weather, and we are looking at foreclosures. Most of what we have seen are from people who bought a house, and still wanted that second car, a t v in every room, or too much house. We are looking at everything, but she wants a small house, or a condo.

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nice little house would be very good.

I always worry about a dumb neighbor burning you out in a condo. I know the chance is nil, but ...

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The greater threat with condos is that the owner will move out and rent it to some neanderthal, then you are stuck with a neighbor who doesn't care about you or anything else.

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The even GREATER threat is that if you rent a condo, will the owner go into foreclosure because he needs to charge $3000/mo instead of $2000/mo to make his mortgage and insurance payments? And if he only bought it as an investment, how long will he be want to lose money before cutting all losses?

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True, and that's what Homeowners associations are for. My townehome neighborhood has covenants that say you cannot rent out your home. That's why in 20 years of my neighborhood being here, my local police claim they have never once been called out for a crime. (Some of the older homeowners call 911 when Coyotes show up in their yard)

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If noone said anything negative about the economy, does that mean that things will start getting rosier...fewer forecolosures? more jobs created? lower prices for gas and food? fewer layoffs? less outsourcing? no need to lower interest rates? the dollar gets stronger? our budget deficit disappears? Somehow, I think not. What people are saying is what they are seeing. That's not self fulfilling prophecy but more like saying aloud what is the obvious reality. Or should we all stick our heads in the sand and pretend that everything's OK?

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Cool talking point. The bad economy is the fault of two Senators, not the President, not his budget practices, not his Fed appointee, not his war....

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I'd vote for your comment ten times if I could.

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Sure, there will be a spike in the Spring. Always is. But by then, there will 2.4 million Americans without their homes.

By 2010 houses will drop to 50% August 2007 levels. Overvaluing has not played itself out yet.

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Mr. President, I hear Neptune is up for sale. Now what kind of tax break will I get? And can I get some fuel subsidies for long distance commuting?

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Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.

Of course Zell is trying to pump it up even though it runs contrary to any evidence.

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